ACUS11 KWNS 160201
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 160200=20
ALZ000-FLZ000-160400-

Mesoscale Discussion 0217
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0900 PM CDT Sat Mar 15 2025

Areas affected...much of central Alabama

Concerning...Tornado Watch 49...

Valid 160200Z - 160400Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 49 continues.

SUMMARY...The risk of strong tornadoes persists over watch area,
especially over central Alabama.

DISCUSSION...In the wake of tornadic storms which went across the
BMX radar, a residual region of outflow remains across parts of
Shelby, Talladega, Chilton and Coosa counties. Meanwhile, a very
large complex of storms is coming up from the southwest. Very strong
inflow winds exist ahead of this complex, which will continue to
feed these storms and possibly enhance lift along the residual
outflow from the earlier storms. Given over 400 m2/s2 0-1 SRH, it is
possible that any interaction with the boundary could result in a
strong tornado.

The environment remains favorable extending farther south as well,
where a north-south confluence line is noted ahead of the primary
cold front, and including the Wilcox County cell.

..Jewell.. 03/16/2025

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!4MFa2DaNHyuO-yBFYbc5Q720nzO7_th5SYXq-xfQoeBj_LPorR_pjz8lvMLZhB51o_J53iYlW= WKBVzjJ1E3VO9gBo4A$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...TAE...BMX...MOB...

LAT...LON 31078822 32848706 33028673 33238638 33438615 33598561
33278545 32118566 31038628 30938804 31078822=20


=3D =3D =3D
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