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  • MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0233

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Sun Mar 16 20:03:50 2025
    ACUS11 KWNS 162002
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 162002=20
    NYZ000-PAZ000-162130-

    Mesoscale Discussion 0233
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0302 PM CDT Sun Mar 16 2025

    Areas affected...central New York

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 55...

    Valid 162002Z - 162130Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 55
    continues.

    SUMMARY...The damaging wind gusts will persist for a few more hours
    across central New York before the threat wanes.

    DISCUSSION...A well-developed line of storms has produced numerous
    reports of damaging wind gusts and some measured severe wind gusts
    across western/central Pennsylvania and western New York. Some weak
    instability remains across central New York which may be sufficient
    to sustain these storms for a few more hours. Synoptic winds are
    gusting to 35-40 knots ahead of this line of storms and an 85 knot
    low-level jet is present on the BGM VWP around 2km. Therefore any
    surface based convection will likely have the potential for severe
    wind gusts this afternoon. Cloud cover is extensive ahead of this
    line of storms and the boundary layer will start to cool in the next
    1 to 2 hours. Therefore, this line of storms is probably past its
    peak and should start to weaken in the next 1 to 2 hours. Severe
    thunderstorm watch 55 has been expanded ahead of these storms to
    cover this threat for that time period. While some local extensions
    of watch 55 may be necessary, no downstream watch is anticipated.

    ..Bentley/Gleason.. 03/16/2025

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!4rZgZmmpB9B1h8n8S1bVrjwR9HSA5rzyvHwyDkrhQ7HjiEUGFIv5ASZMxhHsqGXt5Lz3UKVc4= XdzWTkrnZzFGBhqpuA$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...ALY...BGM...BUF...CTP...

    LAT...LON 42307415 41967504 41907614 41977696 42387734 42877744
    43327738 43397701 43457658 43617642 43647609 43657527
    43547461 42987427 42307415=20


    =3D =3D =3D
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