ACUS11 KWNS 020122
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 020122=20
OKZ000-020215-
Mesoscale Discussion 0342
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0822 PM CDT Tue Apr 01 2025
Areas affected...Portions of southern and central Oklahoma
Concerning...Tornado Watch 91...
Valid 020122Z - 020215Z
The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 91 continues.
SUMMARY...The tornado threat appears to have decreased
substantially, especially in the near term. Isolated large hail and
locally severe gusts remain possible with ongoing thunderstorm.
DISCUSSION...The earlier cluster of splitting supercells has
devolved into one isolated/weakening storm tracking northeastward
across south-central OK. This storm appears to have missed a narrow
window of opportunity for intensification into a dominant
right-moving supercell -- owing to weak forcing for ascent and
lingering inhibition (per 00Z OUN sounding). While this storm will
still pose a risk of isolated large hail and locally severe gusts,
the tornado threat appears to have decreased substantially --
especially in the near term.=20
Additional thunderstorm development will be possible during the
overnight/early morning hours along the front, and any associated
severe threat will be handled with an additional future watch if
needed.
..Weinman.. 04/02/2025
...Please see
https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!8hMUaI1HqGkYtmqr9EWemWgwrVCp67zU6Rr3Kly_VRu3G4NAyLhbITmn1bNfAxcpD-2z8edWx= RSNVrnvaZOwhXFIflg$ for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...OUN...
LAT...LON 34519833 35509814 35879769 35859711 35659668 35229668
34209726 34189803 34519833=20
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN
=3D =3D =3D
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