ACUS11 KWNS 030543
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 030543=20
TNZ000-MSZ000-030715-

Mesoscale Discussion 0372
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1243 AM CDT Thu Apr 03 2025

Areas affected...far north-central MS into portions of Middle TN

Concerning...Tornado Watch 104...

Valid 030543Z - 030715Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 104 continues.

SUMMARY...A corridor of strong tornado potential may persist another
1-2 hours across north-central Mississippi into portions of western
and Middle Tennessee.

DISCUSSION...Two intense supercells with confirmed tornado debris
signatures are ongoing across portions of the MCD area. This
activity is occurring within an intense low-level jet near 60 kt,
aiding in enhanced 0-1 km SRH near 300 m2/s2 per region VWP data.
This activity is also within the corridor of max effective STP (near
2-4). The storms have produced rotational velocity signatures
greater than 50-60 kt over the past 30 minutes. These supercells
within the current environment, coupled with radar trends, suggest a
strong tornado risk will persist downstream for the next 1-2 hours.

..Leitman.. 04/03/2025

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!5xs414X8_dWSZvmHV6onZCu9mJ1Bz5ruC3AautURpe_Rh1pcmasbrEVSWw31R3uxPmmu3jjNp= UuaArZAR3BFzTeLzV0$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...OHX...MEG...

LAT...LON 34829009 35828827 36158755 35958740 35378774 34478943
34479008 34599024 34829009=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...140-170 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...2.00-3.50 IN


=3D =3D =3D
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