Mesoscale Discussion 0197
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0739 PM CDT Tue Mar 10 2026
Areas affected...extreme northern Oklahoma across south-central into east-central Kansas
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 34...
Valid 110039Z - 110245Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 34
continues.
SUMMARY...A corridor of damaging hail and wind potential is evident
along the boundary into south-central and eastern Kansas.
DISCUSSION...Cells continue to evolve out of northwest OK and now
approaching the Wichita area. These storms are riding along the boundary/instability gradient, where shear and instability remain
very favorable for damaging hail. Upstream over central OK, the 00Z
OUN sounding showed 2500 J/kg MLCAPE along with strong mid to high
level winds with elongated hodograph. Similar wind profiles exist
into southern KS, and the low-level jet this evening will maintain a
flow of instability into these storms. An eventual tornado risk may
develop over southeast KS as well later this evening with any
additional discrete development ahead of the existing bows.