Mesoscale Discussion 0652
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0819 AM CDT Wed May 06 2026
Areas affected...The Edwards Plateau
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible
Valid 061319Z - 061415Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent
SUMMARY...A cluster of supercells will pose a large hail and wind
damage threat for the next couple of hours. A small severe
thunderstorm watch is possible.
DISCUSSION...Convection developed earlier this morning along a
surface front across the Edwards Plateau, and the storms have shown
supercell structures. The 12z DRT sounding revealed strong buoyancy immediately south-southwest of these storms, and the storms may
continue eastward along the immediate cool side of the front for the
next couple of hours before weakening by mid-late morning. In the
interim, the storms will remain capable of producing occasional
large hail (1-2 inches in diameter) and severe outflow gusts (60-70
mph). The need for a small severe thunderstorm watch is being
discussed with the central TX NWS offices.