From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Mon Dec 23 08:30:00 2024
ACUS48 KWNS 230956
SWOD48
SPC AC 230955
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0355 AM CST Mon Dec 23 2024
Valid 261200Z - 311200Z
...DISCUSSION...
Severe-weather potential is still expected for Days 4-6
Thursday-Saturday, as an upper trough emerging from California and
the Southwest deserts moves toward the Ozarks/Deep South by
Thursday/Day 4. At least a low-end multi-day regional severe risk is
expected across south-central and east/southeast Texas towards parts
of the ArkLaTex, and possibly the Lower Mississippi Valley. In
particular, Thursday/Day 4 could ultimately warrant Slight
Risk-caliber severe probabilities across south-central to
east/southeast Texas although guidance variability persists, while objective/machine-learning guidance generally also persist with
sub-15 percent probabilities.